Sunday, February 10, 2019

Billionaires & the Rise of Socialism


Billionaires & the Rise of Socialism


Surveys are showing overwhelming support for raising taxes on top earners, including a new POLITICO/Morning Consult poll released Monday that found 76 percent of registered voters believe the wealthiest Americans should pay more in taxes. A recent Fox News survey showed that 70 percent of Americans favor raising taxes on those earning over $10 million — including 54 percent of Republicans.

By JM Hamilton (2-9-2019)
Wow, the times are changing, and rapidly. 
There was a time in America when the middle class, and even in some cases the poor, cheered the boy or girl who made good; but now, when a billionaire pulls themselves up by their bootstraps, Americans increasingly ask who said plutocrat killed or stole from?  And fortunately or unfortunately, depending upon one’s perspective, Americans are coming to realize that is they who are the victims of the billionaire class… it is the 99% who have been robbed, or, all too often, had their lives cut short, by the very system the plutocracy have built.
Horatio Alger – and the American Dream – are dead now.  Mr. Alger was strangled to death by a rapacious billionaire class, as well as, Wall Street analysts and mavens, who place accelerated & quick profits before the economic, fiscal, moral, and political health of the nation.  (In fact, it is these very same analysts & mavens, who often confuse Walls Street’s general health, w/ Main Street’s health; when in the modern era, the two street’s interests have – in most instances – become diametrically opposed.  In short, what is good for Wall Street – layoffs, downsizing, consolidation, the offshoring of labor, and financial engineering, that is loading companies up with debt – is not good for Main Street.) 
Despite the GOPs politics of division, fear, and hatred, Americans – rapidly – are waking up to the realization that it is not one another we have to fear, but the billionaire class. 
We saw last week story after story of how Americans – the clear majority of Americans – want to see the super-wealthy taxed in a more progressive manner, whether it be by estate, income, or wealth (or better yet, if we ever are going to level the playing field, and contain & mitigate the growing threat the robber baron class presents to the 99% and representative democracy… why not the trifecta?).
Of course, the powerful and the rich reacted as they always do. 
Ø Trump played the “socialist” card during his State of the Union address. 
Ø More than one plutocrat said that higher taxes upon the super-wealthy would cause the United States to end up like Venezuela.
Ø While Kevin Hassett, who chairs POTUS Trump’s Counsel of Economic Advisors, called Demo plans to tax the kleptocracy, “economically illiterate.”  (This from a man who predicted the Dow would hit 36,000, back in the '90s.)

Clearly, the billionaire class is running scared and in the process failing to ask the key questions: Why now?  Why are a majority of Americans increasingly warming up to the idea of higher taxation upon the exceptionally wealthy, and the transfer of wealth to those in need?
The problem for the Davos elite is that POTUS Trump campaigned upon the fact that the economy, the government, and the nation are rigged, as did a leading 2016 Democratic candidate, Senator Sanders (Mr. Sanders not only campaigned upon the argument, but then, illustrated it first hand, when the Clinton campaign & its proxy, the DNC, stuck the proverbial knife in the Senator’s back throughout the primary process).
In short, most American’s aren’t buying the plutocracy’s amateurish sales job, which is largely premised upon fear.  That is to say, most Americans are well aware that the financial elite are engaged in their own special brand of socialism & the raiding of the government, courtesy of campaign contributions, Gucci Gulch lobbyist, and a US government that is owned.
This is not good.  Capitalism – not crony capitalism – but the capitalism that provides excellent customer service, innovative products & services, well paying jobs, and rising opportunity has a future (particularly when coupled w/ healthy social programs provided by the state, that support the least among us, or those left behind by a predatory elite).  In short, a capitalism that is defined by many competing entrants into the market place is what is needed.
What doesn’t have a future is an American economy where: a few billionaires rule our country; wages stagnate for decades; monopolies & cartels control the majority of sectors w/in the macro economy; companies are bankrupted & pension funds looted for grandiose profits; and any prospects of upward mobility are about as slim as winning the lottery. 
Fear doesn’t have a future for American labor.  When forty percent of Americans live a hand to mouth existence, and one in five children live in poverty…  socialism – particularly, the highly successful brand seen in Western Europe, Scandinavian countries, and Canada – seems like an outstanding alternative.
At the end of the day, Americans are keenly aware that socialism works, just as capitalism works.  They also know that socialism, like capitalism, in the hands of a dangerous dictator, or thug politician, can be manipulated – by corruption or fraud – to benefit an elite few and turned against the many.
In fact, America is full of excellent examples of socialism that does work:  Social Security, Medicare, the DOD (when it's not engaged in failed nation building), the local fire department… and w/in the private sector, the NFL, Wall Street banks (bailed out during the 2008 crisis), and insurance companies are all outstanding examples of a socialism that works (in some instances for the few, and in other instances for the many).
Which brings us to what is socialism?  Socialism, in its purest form, is the pooling of risk by a group of citizens or a society, and collectively ceding power to a private collective or governmental body to manage said risk.  Socialism subverts the ego and id, and dethrones individualism, and forms a community that comes together – bands together – to mitigate risk (or an existential threat) at a micro or macro level.  (Many people probably don’t know this but the State of Israel was pioneered by socialists, European & Russian emigres – fleeing pogroms & racism – to scratch out a living on communal farms in a desert, called Palestine. To survive a hostile environment, the founders of the State of Israel, Zionist, lived on communal farms, called a kibbutz.  Many of these communes are alive and well, w/in Israel, to this very day.  Who knew America's number one ally in the Middle East was, & remains, to some degree – gasp – socialist?)
Insurance, a classic example, is the pooling of risk at a micro – economic level.  So that if, by way of example, a business or property owner suffers an unforeseen event or loss, said owner doesn’t have to pay for the loss in its entirety, like a rugged-individualist would – by themselves.  Number crunchers, actuaries, know the probability that so many buildings – w/in a pool of risk - will catch fire in a given year.  Armed with this data, the underwriter, if they do their job correctly, prices the risk or premium, so that no single policyholder or participant w/in the pool suffers a catastrophic loss (which could harm said business owner’s earnings, if not land the business, itself, in bankruptcy).
Socialism requires risk and sacrifice however, not unlike capitalism.   When someone pays into social security all their lives – basically another example of the pooling of risk or socialism – they run into the possibility they could die at an early age, whereby they never see payout.  Likewise, any participant in a capitalist, or socialist, project runs the risk of lost labor, time, or wages (versus engaging in alternative endeavors, also known as opportunity costs).
If we are honest with ourselves, aren’t American workers – in an increasingly consolidated American crony-capitalist economy – facing a similar set of downside risks?  By adopting the crony-capitalist model - w/ increasingly diminished employment opportunities or options, and very little say in the economy or government - isn’t American labor incurring the opportunity costs of an alternative system, that potentially is far more rewarding?  Whether that system is a more compassionate form of capitalism, an enhanced mixed economy, or outright socialism?



When both systems – capitalism and socialism – work in harmony, it’s the best of both worlds.  However, when the financial elite prey upon the tremendous resources of the US government for their personal enrichment, while paying at tax rates significantly below the middle and upper middle class (that is if they bother to pay any taxes at all), it tends to upset a great many Americans.  When the financial elite throw verbal Molotov cocktails at anybody who decries, or threatens, the rigged system they have built for themselves, the people eventually catch on to the con.  And when this same billionaire class, run up the debt to pay for their own 2008 bailout, and then use this same debt as an excuse to enforce government austerity upon the people, it’s bound to incite political rebellion.
Therefore, the overthrow of establishment/centrist political parties – who represent the billionaire class’ interests – throughout the West.  Hence, Brexit… and the arrival of populist parties that would have been considered extreme and inconceivable before the 2008 financial crash.  Republicans, and establishment Dems, who have handed out a byzantine tax code the size of telephone directories for the wealthy, and well healed tax attorneys & accountants, but don’t have the courage to offset trillion dollar tax cuts w/ offsetting cuts in government spending…  in effect, financing tax cuts for the wealthy…  are running up huge deficits, and robbing this & future generations, to coddle an ultra-wealthy donor class, today.
For the fifty to sixty percent of Americans who are making it and live a comfortable existence, today, these can be challenging and frightening times.  Fate and the economy have smiled upon you, seemingly, and the middle & upper-middle class don’t want change.  As the system is rigged against all forms of labor – via collusion w/in industries, not to hire from one another; non-compete agreements; monopoly & monopsony powers w/in the industrial & service economy – yes, change is highly disconcerting for those who are doing well.  AI, globalization, and tech have only added to labor’s uncertainty, whether you’re making it or just getting by.
But change is inevitable, and the US has more than a few industries, like Big Coal, that should go the way of the buggy whip.   One way to insure yours and your family's survival – during these challenging times - is to support candidates & politicians willing to challenge, and break up the power base of an elite few.  And that base of power is vast and unseemly wealth, as well as, the source of that wealth (as often as not, rent seeking cartels and monopolies).
The elimination of concentrated wealth better insures the stability of our democracy, the economy, labor markets, and our government.  As it stands, the kleptocracy can, indeed, turn this nation into Venezuela, so concentrated is their power and so dominant is their sway over the economy.  

It is no idle threat.  

The super-wealthy, and Wall Street banks in particular, can manipulate the US economy… just ask Fed Chairman Powell about taper-tantrums.




Americans used to view the prospect of wealth, as a ticket away from the cares and worries of this world; and that’s why citizens, perhaps naively at times, had bought into the American dream: that anybody can make it big; that anybody can become wealthy.  But increasingly, the dream has vanished, (and billionaires have played no small role in making that aspiration disappear) all the more so for those of limited education and means.  We are also seeing a younger generation come up in America, who are not entirely enthralled by materialism.
As such, socialism, and heightened government regulation of business activities, increasingly, is seen as a means to mitigate the risk of a crony-capitalist system that benefits a privileged few at the expense of many.  (Examine the GI Bill as yet another outstanding socialist program that made America great, and rewarded US soldiers, who risked their lives for a grateful nation & world.) 
Government intervention & redistributive policies, in favor of the people, are seen as a means to provide freedom from the cares and worries of a world turning particularly violent - economically & politically - against, nearly, the majority of Americans w/ limited, or no, resources.
As for our billionaire friends, they’d probably do well to remember that the catalyst for both the American & French revolutions were excessive taxation foisted upon the mercantile, middle, and lower tiers of society (while royalty, aristocracy, and nobles often escaped taxation, altogether).  Interestingly, some of the taxes issued by the English monarch against the American colonies were used to pay for – what was increasingly viewed as  - an occupying British military force.  These taxes not only were issued directly by the state, England, but also, indirectly by monopolies – empowered by the state (aka the British East India Company) – in the form of attempted monopolistic taxation/profit taking, against the American colonies.
Some may recall the famous dumping of the tea, in a then, colonial backwater, Boston Harbor.  
And hence, the rumbling of the tumbrels to the Place de la Concorde within Paris, relatively, a few short years later.
Given their colossal power, both w/in the private & public spheres, w/ no checks or balances against same, Americans have every right to ask if their current rulers – the billionaire class -  should even be allowed to exist?


P.S.  For those who say the wealthy contribute to charities & foundations, my response would be that the detrimental impact the ultra-wealthy have upon the economy & government far outweigh the good.  For those who say taxing the ultra-wealthy will not pay down the national debt, JMH would remind those individuals that tax policies also serve a social role (to control and contain bad behaviors & outcomes, while also, encouraging behaviors society deems favorable).  And finally, to those who say the Green New Deal & social spending are unaffordable, given the national debt, JMH responds that the Federal Reserve, via monetary policy, can make good things happen.  If the Fed can print trillions to bailout billionaires, banks, finance credit card wars, and provide tax cuts for the ultra-wealthy, surely the Fed can expand its balance sheet - or even write down Federal debt - to pay for social spending for the nation and the 99%.
Copyright JM Hamilton Publishing 2019



Saturday, January 26, 2019

Brexit & the Wall


Brexit & the Wall


In a sense we’ve come to our nation’s capital to cash a check. When the architects of our republic wrote the magnificent words of the Constitution and the Declaration of Independence they were signing a promissory note to which every American was to fall heir. This note was a promise that all men, yes, black men as well as white men, would be guaranteed the unalienable rights of life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness. It is obvious today that America has defaulted on this promissory note insofar as her citizens of color are concerned. Instead of honoring this sacred obligation, America has given the Negro people a bad check, a check which has come back marked insufficient funds.
But we refuse to believe that the bank of justice is bankrupt.  We refuse to believe that there are insufficient funds in the great vaults of opportunity of this nation.

-       MLK, I Have a Dream



By:  JM Hamilton  (1-27-2019)


A person can learn a great deal about one's own government by observing other governments around the globe.  The UK Tory government, presently led by PM May, not only provides a basis of comparison, but echoes many of the problems Americans see w/in their own government.  Namely, how the legislative body - in the UK, the Parliament, and the US, the Congress - consistently fails the people.

If we study the Brexit phenomenon - the truest form of a democracy, whereby the British people voted to stay in or out of the EU, via referendum - and Parliament's subsequent reaction, and ongoing behavior - we see similar parallels w/ our own US Congress.

The British government has torn itself inside out over the referendum, where a majority of the UK's citizens voted to leave the EU.  Tories, like Republicans & Establishment Dems, typically align themselves w/ banks, big business, neoliberalism, and globalism.  But Brexit and the ongoing wave of populism - seen throughout the West – have turned that dynamic on its head. To such an extent that when May entered power, shortly after the referendum, we saw the Prime Minister attacking the BOE (the Bank of England, the US equivalent is the Federal Reserve), as aiding the banks and the wealthy, post 2008 banking crash, at the expense of ordinary British citizens. Observers also saw the PM recommend several populist themes, not the least of which was placing labor representation on corporate and multinational boards.  More recently, PM May announced that government austerity - at the expense of the 99% - was dead.  

Amazing what one simple referendum can do to shake up the establishment.  The subsequent gridlock - since the referendum in 2016 - arrives from two corners: The EU elites are hell bent on making the UK's exit, or Brexit, from the European Union as painful as possible (and in the process, the EU aristocracy is confirming the very reason why those British, who voted to leave, did so); and the second source of gridlock is the UK Parliament, itself. Here, the Parliament doesn't quite know what it wants.  The House of Commons can either cave into the demands of the EU & UK elites - big banks, The City, multinationals, etc. - and defy the referendum (that is, do a deal w/ the EU on the EU's terms); or it can quit the EU Customs Union cold turkey, what is often referred to as a hard Brexit (that is to say, honor the referendum, since the EU refuses to negotiate in good faith).

Does the UK Parliament then respect the wishes of the donor class - the elites, or does it honor democracy and the vox populi?  One thing is certain, the House of Commons has no idea of what the solution should be, and probably resents, greatly, being put in this predicament by the proceeding Tory government.  Of course, the UK elites would have never voted to leave the EU, which defines crony-capitalism.

And this is where what is happening in the UK is quite instructive, as to why the US Congress seemingly is found w/in a permanent stasis.

Note, all the happy talk of reining in the Bank of England is gone; note, the populist reforms originally suggested by the May government, like labor representation on corporate boards, gone.   Austerity... still alive and very much well in the UK, except for the welfare handed out to The City, and the banks, and the well-to-do continue unabated.  If you think banking deregulation is a problem in the United States, you should see what goes on in London (but - hand it to the Brits - at least London will place bank CEOs on trial for their crimes).

Where is JMH going with this:  Parliament - intentionally or unintentionally - likely the former - has allowed Brexit to suck all the oxygen out of the House of Commons.  It seems that Brexit, for the House of Commons, has become an excuse to do nothing.  What of the issues that drove British citizens to vote for Brexit in the first place (?): wage & wealth inequality; the complete lack of opportunity or possibility for upward mobility w/in British society; open borders that suppress wages; and the rigged system that favors the elite and the financial aristocracy?  

The Parliament is no where to be found, and of course, we'd expect this from the Conservative Party in power, the Tories. 










See the parallels yet?  We just went through two years of our own ultra-conservative US government, where Republicans dominated all four branches of government, including the Federal Reserve.  And the rich got richer, and the only thing the Republican led Congress did was pass tax cuts for the wealthy, and stack the federal judiciary w/ right-wing politicians wearing black robes.  It's almost as if the legislative branch of both the UK and US governments are no longer coequal but subservient to their respective executive branches, party leaders, and the donor class.  It's almost as if gridlock - or the crisis du jour, be it Brexit or presently in the states, the government shutdown & the wall - is a get out of jail card for the legislative body to do absolutely nothing.  And what role does the MSM play in all this?

Interestingly, per ballotpedia.org, the 116th Congress, headed up by Speaker Pelosi, is expected to be in session less time than the 115th Congress, headed up by Speaker Ryan.  That’s so the Congress can spend more time raising money.  What are we paying these people for?  Oh, that's right, their government salaries are chicken feed compared to the money received by their true paymasters, the oligarchy. 

There are 330 Conservative Party members in the lower house of Parliament; and in the US House of Representatives, there are 235 Democrats. It's almost as if these Parliamentarians and Representatives have never heard of the division of labor, or empowering committees to bring legislation to the floor, post-haste.  These legislative bodies appear too fearful or timid to make laws for the benefit of the people.  Then again, K-Street isn’t likely to support a people’s agenda, and it is K-Street lobbyist who write a great deal of the legislation passed by Congress anyway.

And who benefits most from the status quo, the rigged system, the capture of the UK and US governments, particularly the legislative bodies?

Here's a hint, they were all at Davos last week.

And just like PM May's happy - populist talk, there's been a great deal of happy talk among Dems about catching up w/ their electorate, which has, allegedly, shifted left in short order.

So just as Brexit sucked the energy out of Parliament, the POTUS's and House Speaker's bitter feud - over the government shutdown and the wall – appears to have sucked the life out of the American people's agenda and the US congress.

At this point, if the Dems truly were interested in championing the people - instead of serving the donor class - they'd walk and chew gum at the same time.  They'd fight Trump's wall, but they'd also pass and send a raft of legislation over to the Senate, and humiliate the Senate Republicans for not passing same.  There is so much low hanging political fruit - policy positions the American people support, overwhelmingly -  that, if House Dems acted, it would likely all but certify the 2020 POTUS as a Democrat.


Glad you asked:  For starters, the majority of Americans support a Green New Deal and renewable energy; a majority of US citizens support ending credit card wars in the Middle East (where's the revised AUMF?); a majority support raising taxes on the super-wealthy (but I guess that would mean raising taxes on Speaker Pelosi and many other congresspersons, unless they exempted themselves); where's the federal legislation to protect women's reproductive rights, and gay rights (again, supported by the majority of Americans); and the House bill backing America’s support for a higher minimum wage?  Wasn't Chuck & Nancy, and Dem leadership, highly supportive of reining in cartels and monopolies... or was that all campaign BS?

Crickets.

(That’s because the Dem Establishment does not want to acknowledge the failure of Clintonian economic & foreign policies  --– that is, globalism, neoliberalism, and the embrace of Silicon Valley & Wall Street, as well as, its ongoing & present love affair w/ the Deep State & endless credit card wars --- for what they are, political malpractice.  Instead, Dem eminentos are betting the farm that the Trump campaign’s Russian ties will vindicate - or at least distract from -  years of failing forty percent of Americans, and one in five children.  And given the POTUS’ level of popularity that might be a winning Dem strategy for 2020.  But if the Dems enter power then, w/ the same set of sadistic GOP-Lite policies, including mass incarceration - until relatively recently, a Dem establishment favorite - the new Dem emperor will quickly be found out as wearing, yet again, no clothes.  Calls for “hope” – backed by no political action, from our elected politicians – only work once.)

Americans increasingly believe they have a right to health and affordable healthcare, and the Constitution says as much (something about unalienable rights to: life, liberty, and happiness).  If nothing else, perhaps, the push for Medicare for All will finally encourage private sector healthcare interests to clean up their act.  America has the most expensive healthcare system in the world, and yet, life expectancy is in decline.

If the Speaker wants to engage in a power play w/ the POTUS (aka biz as usual w/in Washington) - a president who will do anything to distract from the Mueller probe, and solidify his base of support - that's fine.... go at it, but at least take care of the American people along the way.  I know, the Speaker has only been in power a matter of weeks; but if past is prologue (this is Nancy’s second go as House leader), don’t expect a burst of energy, or a surge of progressive legislation under Pelosi’s stewardship.  The ACA, premised upon a right-wing think tank's white paper, and bailing out Wall Street banks - Speaker Pelosi's signature achievements, to date - are not exactly what one would call advancing FDR's cause.

Speaker Pelosi is the establishment, as POTUS Trump found out this week.

If the energy level we've seen from the 116th Congress, so far, is what we can expect over the next 23 months, what's going to happen when hearings on the POTUS begin in earnest?  

Answer:  Absolutely nothing.  Progressive initiatives and legislation will stall.  The Dem establishment will, likely, show their true colors once again - at least under present management - and the donor class will be pleased. 

Speaker Pelosi all but guaranteed this, when she doubled down on pay-go as one of her very first official acts; that is to say, another round of austerity for the American people, as well as, continued and record rates of low taxation for the uber wealthy (best illustrated by examining the tax tables from the 1950s forward).  Of course, I really hope the Speaker surprises, and proves me wrong on all this.

In short, the more than likely, lack of House-driven progressive initiatives and legislation maybe by design, w/ gridlock being utilized as an excuse for House Dems to not even try.  If you need another example of a comatose – money sucking - legislative body, too fearful to act, just examine the House of Commons from across the pond.


Copyright JM Hamilton Publishing 2019