Saturday, September 17, 2016

Symphony of Debt & Destruction


Symphony of Debt & Destruction


“We’re not in a stable equilibrium,” Greenspan said. “I hope we can all find a way out because this is too great a country to be undermined, by how should I say it, crazies.”


By J.M. Hamilton (9-17-2016)

Perhaps Mr. Greenspan should observe the old saw, “Those who live in glass houses…” 

After all, what’s crazy?  Living under the delusion that the Federal Reserve, under one’s watch, played a small role in the worst economic calamity, so far, in the twenty-first century?   Yes, the Maestro had just left the conductor’s stand, while the music played, the Fed fiddled, and Wall Street burned the country’s 2008 economy to the ground.

But heh, the elite tell us we are not supposed to talk about such things.  Shame on Mr. Trump for bringing up the “Federal Reserve” topic.  Apostasy?  Sacrilege against the high priests of finance, many of whom Senator Warren says should be jailed.
 
Doesn’t Mr. Trump know that the elite never talk about the fourth branch of government, and the most powerful branch of government, at that?

Personally – for me, The Donald waffles too much.  Add in xenophobia, bigotry among his following, intolerance, and Mr. Trump is a non-starter in my book.  And yet, he continues to rise in the polls.  Warts aside, Mr. Trump has several estimable qualities, among them:  his derision and scorn for corporate/multinational welfare, I mean free trade agreements; his oft stated belief that our “military allies” should stop sponging off a bankrupt United States, and carry their own martial/security freight; Mr. Trump’s ready acknowledgment that our economic & political system is deeply corrupt & rigged; and of course, taking on, or at least touching upon, the taboo topics of the national debt and the Federal Reserve, and the politicization of same.

Please… haven’t we all read enough from the mainstream news media that Ms. Yellen & Co. are some how above the political fray.   Yes, consistent with elementary school civics, the women & men wearing black robes are not politicians, and there’s an Easter Bunny and a Tooth Fairy, too.  Ditto a non-political Fed.

The reality is – since Congress campaigns 24/7/365 and has abdicated all responsibility for economic, fiscal, foreign, and tax policy – the Federal Reserve is the only game in town.  The Fed’s chairperson and board of governors are hand picked by the POTUS, and sent to the Senate for review and approval. 

Political?  Perish the thought.

With the power the Fed possesses & wields, perhaps the Fed Chair and her board should be up for national election every four years, and the Chair could then nominate the POTUS for Senate confirmation. 

But I digress because the Fed is the composer of much of what troubles the U.S. economy today.  Indeed, central banks have had similar deleterious impact across the globe.  The Fed and central banks underwrite the credit card economy/ the debt driven economy.  The Fed’s liquidity has fueled consolidation and M&A in industry after industry…. that, and financial engineering on a colossal scale.   Industry consolidation, M&A, and financial engineering are often driven by a need for corporate management to do something, anything, in the face stagnating top line growth. 

The Street, stock analysts, and activist investors demand that management take action, so the dance begins to the beat of a fugue symphony: low demand and stagnant growth fueled by globalization & free trade leads to consolidation and M&A, which leads to job cuts and lower aggregate demand, which leads to more consolidation and financial engineering, etc., etc., etc. (repeat ad nauseam).  The symphony grows louder and the fugue builds with an ocean of private and public debt across the globe. 

How smart is it to do a stock buyback or a merger at a market top (?)… presumably, not very.  History shows that the serial acquiring companies usually perform poorly in an economic downturn, buried under debt and debt service payments (much of which is often at adjustable rates).  In a downturn, short sellers begin to circle, and the feeding frenzy begins.

Who fuels cheap liquidity for consolidation and M&A, the resulting stagnation, and a stock market on roids?   You guessed it, our friends at the Fed… that non-partisan body.  The same folks, who tell us w/ a straight face that they have a dual mandate of maximum employment and keeping inflation in check…. When in reality, the Fed's true mandate is to keep Wall Street financial institutions in the black and the stock market juiced for a happy plutocracy.  There’s a reason why an inordinate number of Fed governors, and twelve regional Fed bank heads, come from Wall Street and are white males.  The Fed, by printing money and suppressing interest rates, pursues its policy of trickle down monetary policy. 

Trickle down tax policy is a proven failure.  In the long run, the debt burden caused by trickle down monetary policy has proven to be a failure, and dovetails – not so nicely – with stagnating wages and rising wage and wealth inequality.  (There's all sorts of bogus nostrums floating around today, about the need for greater productivity, when the nation's true problems are the debt & monopoly driven economy.) 

Given that private and public sectors are both often underwater, in nation after nation, central banks will continue to keep interest rates at all time lows, in order to mitigate debt service loads.

Meanwhile, Congress is off the hook.  The women and men who make up both houses, as long as interests rates are suppressed, don’t have to worry about the national debt, and interest expense on same, crowding out defense, foreign adventures, and entitlement spending (i.e. Medicare, Social Security and Medicaid, etc.)  Nor does Congress feel the need to break up job/opportunity killing cartels & monopolies, which dodge taxes at every turn.

Which means America can continue to abuse what remains of its largely spent Superpower status on the global stage, with endless war, endless nation building, seemingly “sky is the limit” MIC spending, and free military aid – often to countries least in need.

That’s right.  At a time when 20 to 25% of U.S. children live in poverty, and many teens are selling their bodies just to get a bite to eat, Uncle Same has $38 billion to give to Israel, four to five trillion to waste in the Middle East & Afghanistan, and at least a trillion to spend on a nuclear upgrade. 

Who’s to say what the final price tag will be w/ trillions used as a rounding number by DOD accountants.  It’s almost as if America is at war with itself, or the elites are at war with Americans.  Arguably, if one wanted to learn of a way to destroy an empire, one would follow the course we are presently on.  Mr. Blitzer's hand wringing aside, it is morally repugnant to be at war with the world, or be the number one Merchant of Death on the planet, in order to save a couple hundred thousand engineering jobs.

War is the mother of all waste and fraud, as well as, standing armies.   As noted by POTUS Madison – both, war & standing armies - are producers of debt, and debt is a key instrument in bringing the many under the subjugation of the few (read Wall Street banks, the beneficiary & conduit of Federal Reserve policy).  Mr. Madison went onto note: "No nation could preserve its freedom in the midst of continual warfare."  For further clarification, see the police & surveillance state, and our catastrophic national debt.

A world at war brought to you by that above the fray, apolitical, non-partisan body… The Federal Reserve, and the Wall Street banks it supports, with bailouts and free money.

Let us all join hands and give the Fed a standing ovation.  Encore!  Encore!  Hopefully, the concert will not end under Ms. Yellen’s watch, like it did shortly after the Maestro's.

Who else could keep our wilting empire from foundering; who else would enable multinationals to dodge paying hundreds of billions in back taxes, at the expense of honest tax paying citizens?

Fed & global central bank polices, and their smoking hot printing presses… that’s who.

Copyright JM Hamilton Publishing 2016

Saturday, September 3, 2016

As American as Apple Pie, but Still Schedule I


As American as Apple Pie, but Still Schedule I


As has been well documented, I smoked pot as a kid, and I view it as a bad habit and a vice, not very different from the cigarettes that I smoked as a young person up through a big chunk of my adult life.  I don’t think it is more dangerous than alcohol   - POTUS Obama


By J.M. Hamilton (9-4-2016)


Cannabis is as American as … well… apple pie.   Our founding fathers (Washington, Jefferson, Madison) not only grew hemp (cannabis’ industrial grade cousin), but many of the nation’s leaders ingested it or smoked it.  The bellicose Andrew Jackson, along w/ Zachery Taylor, is said to have enjoyed a pipe full with his troops.  (If only Mr. Jackson had vaped a few hits of Mary Jane before he sent the Cherokee on the Trail of Tears, which resulted in Native-American genocide, perhaps things might have turned out differently?)  President Kennedy smoked cannabis to relieve back pain, as a result of a WWII injury.

The last three U.S. Presidents have all admitted to smoking marijuana.  President Obama said he didn’t think cannabis was any more dangerous than alcohol; and the POTUS is partially right, alcohol is far more dangerous than marijuana, but more on this later.

What’s none too shocking is that the DEA (a government entity that reports up to the Justice Department, which reports to the Executive branch) recently decided to maintain cannabis as a Schedule I drug, that is to say, highly harmful to the American public w/ no redeemable medical value.  Shockingly, opioids and pain pills, and the national epidemic of drug overdoses opioids have created, remain a Schedule II substance.  Now having the DEA rule on this matter presents something of an inherent conflict of interest, akin to asking the lobbying group, the American Petroleum Institute, whether or not the Oil and Gas Industry should continue to enjoy billions in tax breaks.

The DEA’s decision to maintain cannabis as a Schedule I substance also presents a Catch -22, since it’s much harder to test Schedule I labeled drugs to determine medicinal value. 

Since Richard Nixon declared the war on drugs, the U.S. has spent a trillion dollars on prohibition.  The Drug Enforcement Agency (DEA) is at the tip of the spear, and on the receiving end of billions in government largess to fight this failed war.  Hence the conflict of interest of having the DEA make the decision on cannabis scheduling, and the resulting impact upon DEA funding. 

Fortunately, the American people already know what the elite, the warrior class, and the medical community say they don’t know: marijuana not only has medicinal benefits, but is a far safer alternative than alcohol, opioid based pain medication, and tobacco. 

Of course, Big Pharma and assorted beer and liquor distributors throughout America already know  - the effectiveness of cannabis in treating pain, epileptic seizures, reducing nausea for cancer sufferers, in shrinking tumors, as a possible treatment for PTSD, and recreationally, as a safer alternative to alcohol consumption – and its why they lobby so hard against legalization.  The bottom line is the bottom line, and cannabis legalization means a hit to Big Pharma’s, Big Tobacco’s, and beer & liquor manufacturer’s and distributor’s profits.  Hence, the endless campaign to malign and vilify the drug.  (Note:  The National Cancer Institute, a Federal government agency, also seems to disagree w/ the DEA’s findings against cannabis' medical potential.)

Twenty-five states have legalized cannabis for medical use, several states have legalized it for recreational use, and more states have simply decriminalized the drug.  The majority of Americans support legalization for medical use.  Even the VA's doctors are now permitted to prescribe cannabis for our nation’s veterans, in states that have authorized medical use.  And cannabis legalization, medical or recreational, is on the November 2016 ballot in nine states.  Watch the California referendum closely, as Cali goes so goes the nation - eventually. 

I’ll hazard another guess - despite the big money lobbying efforts of Big Pharma, Big Tobacco, Big Alcohol, and Sheldon Adelson, casino magnate – cannabis legalization efforts will pass in the majority of these states.  (Note, there appears to be a demographic component to these legalization initiatives: States w/ older voters, say Arizona and Florida, will likely prove more challenging for pro-legalization forces.  Looks like the geriatric crowd has bought into four to five decades of fear-mongering; even though the older demographic would likely be the largest beneficiary of legalized medical cannabis, both in terms of drug efficacy and the curtailment of out of pocket pharmaceutical expense.)  Have you seen how the Super-Villains of Big Pharma have been jacking up the price of medicine recently?

The irony in all this is President Obama, for the most part, got it right.  Cannabis, when matched up to alcohol, pain pills, heroin, and tobacco is much safer.  As noted in Vox:  

Overdose on heroin? You might die. Overdose on cocaine? You also might die. Alcohol? The same.

But marijuana? You won’t die.

Compare that to tobacco, which the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) links to 480,000 deaths each year. Or alcohol, which the CDC links to 88,000 deaths each year. Or opioid painkillers and heroin, which were linked to nearly 29,000 drug overdose deaths in 2014.

The total number of marijuana overdose deaths, meanwhile, is zero.

As noted in the same Vox piece, and as exhibited by an Omaha man, who unknowingly ingested his adult children’s pot brownies, you just might call the house cat, “bitch.”  But in another Vox piece, the writer cites the CDC about the harm & mayhem society’s legal drugs cause on a daily basis:

The available data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) shows tobacco, alcohol, and opioid painkillers were responsible for more direct deaths in one year than any other drug. 

Alcohol-caused health problems, such as liver disease, led to more than 30,000 deaths in 2014. But that actually undercounts the number of deaths caused by alcohol: When including other causes of death like drunk driving and homicides, the toll rises to 88,000 per year.

Nearly 42,000 of the total 480,000 deaths from smoking are caused by secondhand smoke.

One might think that if the DEA really cared about Americans, and not about their budget, they’d list alcohol, opioids, and tobacco, as Schedule I drugs, and knock cannabis down a notch or two.  Then again, it was - the Godfather of the Drug War - Richard Nixon’s own commission (the National Commission on Marihuana and Drug Abuse) that recommended marihuana legalization in small amounts.  Nixon crushed and buried that recommendation, post-haste.

You see, beyond the money Big Pharma, Big Liquor & Tobacco make off of keeping cannabis criminalized, there’s a racial, or arguably a racist, component to keeping cannabis Schedule I.  Mr. Nixon, some may recall, had created the Southern Strategy, a political strategy that encouraged traditional Southern White democrats – angry over Demo passage of civil rights legislation in the 60s – to convert over to the GOP.  During the 60s and 70s marijuana was more closely associated with minority usage and distribution.  And so when Mr. Nixon waged his drug war, he was also waging a war on minorities and minority voters (as prisoners and convicted felons are, or are often, disenfranchised).  And POTUS’ Reagan and Clinton took the drug war and ran it further up the field, cracking down even harder – largely at the minority population’s expense.

It’s no accident then that minorities are far more likely than whites to be locked up for drug possession and distribution.  It’s no accident that America has the largest prison population in the world.  It’s also no accident that law enforcement, and private prison corporations, have lobbied heavily against the decriminalization of cannabis, and stand to gain financially by keeping pot on Schedule I.

So what have we covered so far in the DEA’s recent decision:  quite possibly, the DEA’s naked self-interest; a money grab by Big Alcohol, Pharma, & Tobacco or preservation of the status quo and profits; the commercialization of “legal” drugs that are far more dangerous to society, than all the illegal drugs combined; and a decision that is responsible for the perpetuation of the mass incarceration state and a thriving privatized prison industry?  And don’t forget the U.S. police state (local, state & federal) is armed to the teeth, w/ cutting edge military and surveillance technology.  Yep, the MIC and the Surveillance state contractors also have zero incentive to see cannabis made legal.  

Per the Huffington Post: Despite an increased emphasis on treatment and prevention programs in recent years, the Obama administration in its 2013 budget still requested $25.6 billion in federal spending on the drug war. Of that, $15 billion would go to law enforcement, interdiction and international efforts.





But wait, there’s more because as we all know… despite the aforementioned information, cannabis is the demon weed.

·      There’s a body of research that shows that pain pill abuse and overdose decline where cannabis is legal.

·      Medicare prescription drug savings, in the 17 states where cannabis is legal (the study covered a period through 2013), is estimated at 165 million dollars. The authors of that study also estimated that had cannabis been legal in all fifty states Medicare would have enjoyed a half billion dollar savings.

·      From ’96 through ’14, Purdue enjoyed $27 billion in sales from painkillers… painkillers that have now sparked a national heroin epidemic.

·      Employers also stand to gain from legal cannabis.  Early studies suggest there is less employee absenteeism in states that have made the drug legal.

·      Another study shows that cannabis abuse and dependency is down in states that have made the drug legal.

·      Another study shows that in Colorado marijuana use has not climbed among teens.

·      Drug related crime is down in Colorado.

·      There is less domestic violence in families where the adults smoke marijuana.

Funny, I didn’t hear the DEA mention any of these studies or findings.   Time doesn’t permit me to go into the foreign policy aspect of the failed Drug War (quick thoughts are: the Drug War is mostly fought on foreign soil, which explains why many of our Latin American neighbors have recently legalized, or are more open to cannabis legalization; Afghanistan – under U.S. occupation - remains the biggest producer and purveyor of heroin and opium; and it’s been pretty well documented that the CIA stood by, while crack cocaine was introduced to the Southern California black community, in order to finance Reagan’s war against communism in Central America during the 80s). 

Okay got to wrap this up…

I’m not pretending for one moment that cannabis is a panacea for all that ails America.  Yes, it would give our farmers a cash crop; yes, it would wipeout substantive swaths of organized crime; yes, it would give revenue hungry states another income source; yes, decriminalization would cut the expense of a hyper-militarized police & mass incarceration state; yes, there would be less overdoses from the poison Big Pharma and Liquor distributors, and merchants, sell to the American people, daily.

But what about the profits from these legal and legitimate industries: Big Pharma; Liquor & Wine; Defense contractors & Private Prison contractors?  They desperately need this Drug War to be maintained.  Quarterly income statements demand it.

At the end of the day, whether you are a libertarian or liberal, GOP or Dem, fiscal conservative or social-democrat/green, there’s gotta be something about the DEA’s decision that, hopefully, upsets you on some level.   In pulling this piece together, the deeper I went on research…  well, let’s just say it’s disappointing.  The DEA’s position and decision speaks to the rank dysfunction that Americans see in Washington on a daily basis… where moneyed interests and the politics of the status quo (in lieu of the “change,” we thought we were voting for) triumph over common sense and the national good.

Copyright JM Hamilton Publishing 2016