Saturday, September 17, 2016

Symphony of Debt & Destruction


Symphony of Debt & Destruction


“We’re not in a stable equilibrium,” Greenspan said. “I hope we can all find a way out because this is too great a country to be undermined, by how should I say it, crazies.”


By J.M. Hamilton (9-17-2016)

Perhaps Mr. Greenspan should observe the old saw, “Those who live in glass houses…” 

After all, what’s crazy?  Living under the delusion that the Federal Reserve, under one’s watch, played a small role in the worst economic calamity, so far, in the twenty-first century?   Yes, the Maestro had just left the conductor’s stand, while the music played, the Fed fiddled, and Wall Street burned the country’s 2008 economy to the ground.

But heh, the elite tell us we are not supposed to talk about such things.  Shame on Mr. Trump for bringing up the “Federal Reserve” topic.  Apostasy?  Sacrilege against the high priests of finance, many of whom Senator Warren says should be jailed.
 
Doesn’t Mr. Trump know that the elite never talk about the fourth branch of government, and the most powerful branch of government, at that?

Personally – for me, The Donald waffles too much.  Add in xenophobia, bigotry among his following, intolerance, and Mr. Trump is a non-starter in my book.  And yet, he continues to rise in the polls.  Warts aside, Mr. Trump has several estimable qualities, among them:  his derision and scorn for corporate/multinational welfare, I mean free trade agreements; his oft stated belief that our “military allies” should stop sponging off a bankrupt United States, and carry their own martial/security freight; Mr. Trump’s ready acknowledgment that our economic & political system is deeply corrupt & rigged; and of course, taking on, or at least touching upon, the taboo topics of the national debt and the Federal Reserve, and the politicization of same.

Please… haven’t we all read enough from the mainstream news media that Ms. Yellen & Co. are some how above the political fray.   Yes, consistent with elementary school civics, the women & men wearing black robes are not politicians, and there’s an Easter Bunny and a Tooth Fairy, too.  Ditto a non-political Fed.

The reality is – since Congress campaigns 24/7/365 and has abdicated all responsibility for economic, fiscal, foreign, and tax policy – the Federal Reserve is the only game in town.  The Fed’s chairperson and board of governors are hand picked by the POTUS, and sent to the Senate for review and approval. 

Political?  Perish the thought.

With the power the Fed possesses & wields, perhaps the Fed Chair and her board should be up for national election every four years, and the Chair could then nominate the POTUS for Senate confirmation. 

But I digress because the Fed is the composer of much of what troubles the U.S. economy today.  Indeed, central banks have had similar deleterious impact across the globe.  The Fed and central banks underwrite the credit card economy/ the debt driven economy.  The Fed’s liquidity has fueled consolidation and M&A in industry after industry…. that, and financial engineering on a colossal scale.   Industry consolidation, M&A, and financial engineering are often driven by a need for corporate management to do something, anything, in the face stagnating top line growth. 

The Street, stock analysts, and activist investors demand that management take action, so the dance begins to the beat of a fugue symphony: low demand and stagnant growth fueled by globalization & free trade leads to consolidation and M&A, which leads to job cuts and lower aggregate demand, which leads to more consolidation and financial engineering, etc., etc., etc. (repeat ad nauseam).  The symphony grows louder and the fugue builds with an ocean of private and public debt across the globe. 

How smart is it to do a stock buyback or a merger at a market top (?)… presumably, not very.  History shows that the serial acquiring companies usually perform poorly in an economic downturn, buried under debt and debt service payments (much of which is often at adjustable rates).  In a downturn, short sellers begin to circle, and the feeding frenzy begins.

Who fuels cheap liquidity for consolidation and M&A, the resulting stagnation, and a stock market on roids?   You guessed it, our friends at the Fed… that non-partisan body.  The same folks, who tell us w/ a straight face that they have a dual mandate of maximum employment and keeping inflation in check…. When in reality, the Fed's true mandate is to keep Wall Street financial institutions in the black and the stock market juiced for a happy plutocracy.  There’s a reason why an inordinate number of Fed governors, and twelve regional Fed bank heads, come from Wall Street and are white males.  The Fed, by printing money and suppressing interest rates, pursues its policy of trickle down monetary policy. 

Trickle down tax policy is a proven failure.  In the long run, the debt burden caused by trickle down monetary policy has proven to be a failure, and dovetails – not so nicely – with stagnating wages and rising wage and wealth inequality.  (There's all sorts of bogus nostrums floating around today, about the need for greater productivity, when the nation's true problems are the debt & monopoly driven economy.) 

Given that private and public sectors are both often underwater, in nation after nation, central banks will continue to keep interest rates at all time lows, in order to mitigate debt service loads.

Meanwhile, Congress is off the hook.  The women and men who make up both houses, as long as interests rates are suppressed, don’t have to worry about the national debt, and interest expense on same, crowding out defense, foreign adventures, and entitlement spending (i.e. Medicare, Social Security and Medicaid, etc.)  Nor does Congress feel the need to break up job/opportunity killing cartels & monopolies, which dodge taxes at every turn.

Which means America can continue to abuse what remains of its largely spent Superpower status on the global stage, with endless war, endless nation building, seemingly “sky is the limit” MIC spending, and free military aid – often to countries least in need.

That’s right.  At a time when 20 to 25% of U.S. children live in poverty, and many teens are selling their bodies just to get a bite to eat, Uncle Same has $38 billion to give to Israel, four to five trillion to waste in the Middle East & Afghanistan, and at least a trillion to spend on a nuclear upgrade. 

Who’s to say what the final price tag will be w/ trillions used as a rounding number by DOD accountants.  It’s almost as if America is at war with itself, or the elites are at war with Americans.  Arguably, if one wanted to learn of a way to destroy an empire, one would follow the course we are presently on.  Mr. Blitzer's hand wringing aside, it is morally repugnant to be at war with the world, or be the number one Merchant of Death on the planet, in order to save a couple hundred thousand engineering jobs.

War is the mother of all waste and fraud, as well as, standing armies.   As noted by POTUS Madison – both, war & standing armies - are producers of debt, and debt is a key instrument in bringing the many under the subjugation of the few (read Wall Street banks, the beneficiary & conduit of Federal Reserve policy).  Mr. Madison went onto note: "No nation could preserve its freedom in the midst of continual warfare."  For further clarification, see the police & surveillance state, and our catastrophic national debt.

A world at war brought to you by that above the fray, apolitical, non-partisan body… The Federal Reserve, and the Wall Street banks it supports, with bailouts and free money.

Let us all join hands and give the Fed a standing ovation.  Encore!  Encore!  Hopefully, the concert will not end under Ms. Yellen’s watch, like it did shortly after the Maestro's.

Who else could keep our wilting empire from foundering; who else would enable multinationals to dodge paying hundreds of billions in back taxes, at the expense of honest tax paying citizens?

Fed & global central bank polices, and their smoking hot printing presses… that’s who.

Copyright JM Hamilton Publishing 2016

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