Proxy War

Proxy War 

 

We maintain… that war is simply a continuation of political intercourse, with the addition of other means. 

 

-       Clausewitz 

 

By Gregg Wall (4-30-2022)

Here’s to the new endless - proxy - war… same as the old endless war?  On the surface, and for America, there are many ways in which the new Ukrainian war is not unlike the Afghanistan war the country just exited.  But a deeper dive, and nuance, reveals why the wars are dissimilar. 

 

Before we go there, some updates on the news flow. 

 

Russian foreign minister, Sergei Lavrov, told Russian state media: “NATO, in essence, is engaged in a war with Russia through a proxy and is arming that proxy. War means war.”  The foreign minister believes the US & NATO plan to bleed out the Russian economy & military, by funding endless war in the Ukraine (not unlike the CIA’s and former Soviet Union’s adventures in Afghanistan in the eighties). 

 

And to validate that claim, as reported in the Washington Post: “Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin, fresh from a lightning trip to Kyiv, told reporters the United States wants to see Russia ‘weakened’ and unable to quickly recover from the shocking military losses it has suffered in two months of war.”  The statement seems validate Russian concerns, and strategically, at least at cursory glance, seems to make some sense.  If it weren’t for all those Russian nukes.

 

On top of the eight billion in spending, delivered and pledged by NATO, for the Ukrainian war effort (along with $13.6 billion passed by Congress last month), POTUS Biden has proposed another $33 billion in spending for the Ukrainian war.  Showing that the US is in it for a long, protracted conflict.  The bulk of the proposed aid will be for military and security spending.  

 

What will be truly interesting to see…  if all the members of Congress, who shouted down Build Back Better, due to deficit & national debt concerns, express similar reservations for a massive US defense industry give away.  So far, the Biden Administration’s efforts to use the war to distract -- from soaring domestic inflation, failure to deliver on BBB, and what appears to be an economy teetering upon recession, if it hasn’t already arrived -- have not raised the president’s poll numbers, which continue their downward trajectory. 

 

Meanwhile, our allies in Europe complain that Putin in engaged in energy blackmail.  Putin has threatened Russian gas and oil deliveries to parts of Europe, due to their declination to pay for Russian energy in rubles.  The macabre irony must be lost on no one that while Europeans are supportive of the Ukraine, they are funding Putin’s war machine with Russian energy purchases. (Not unlike the US sending troops to die in Middle East wars, to protect & seize oil resources, while European & US petrol dollars fund Oil monarchies, that support fundamentalist Islamic extremism, teachings, & terror.)

 

None too surprising, Putin has been waving the nuclear sword, making not so veiled threats directed at anybody or any nation, who interferes in the Ukraine.  In Putin’s mind, the NATO run up to the Russian border, and the funding & supply of the Ukraine’ martial efforts, presents an existential threat; and therefore, for Putin, is, possible, justification for first use.  As for the US, the elites, arguably, need a bogeyman to justify excessive, and growing, defense spending (more than the G10 combined).  And Russia has long foot the bill, especially for Dems, who still believe that Putin cost them & Hillary the 2016 race.  Apparently, the US is fresh out of Middle East terrorists or that story has grown stale, and no longer offers the fear factor for Americans? 

 

Left unanswered, is a weakened Russia, or a strong Russia -- with a productive relationship with Europe, that is with minimal dysfunction -- more likely to engage in the use of nuclear weapons?  Equally alarming, certain members of the failed US foreign policy establishment believe a nuclear confrontation is winnable?

 

Laid to rest this week, and eulogized, was former Secretary of State, Madeleine Albright.  Ms. Albright’s claim to fame was her statement that, sacrificing a half million Iraqi children was well worth the price to bring Saddam Hussein down, based upon a pack of lies.  Albright was the author of ‘wag the dog.’  She was also the first woman Secretary of State.  And while America needs more women and minorities in positions of power, it sure would be an improvement if said candidate didn’t have to prove themselves by being more neoliberal or more bloodthirsty, in regards US foreign policy, than their white male counterparts.  Dem leadership, champions of incrementalism, love to hold up tokens to show steady improvement, while denying tens of millions of disenfranchised Americans the progressive change they have long hungered and voted for.  

 

Which begs the question, why can’t Americans enjoy both: greater diversity in US leadership and the progressive polices the nation so desperately needs & desires, and that are altogether common throughout the West?

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

So here we are…  a shiny, new Cold War, and an excuse for endless military spending and endless austerity for the American people.  Heh, sacrifices have to be made.  No, not by the rich and powerful, who always profit from war and own the US government, but the American people must sacrifice.  Less than twelve months after exiting Afghanistan, America finds itself with a new made to order war.  If you look carefully enough…  on a bright, sunny, spring day, you can see that Afghanistan peace dividend drifting off into the blue ether.  What a very bad joke, perpetrated on the American people. 

 

The similarities, at the micro level, for the two wars, Afghanistan and the Ukraine (aka the new Cold War), are well known, endless profits for defense contractors, the war lobby, American oligarchs, and Wall St.  Ever soaring deficits and national debt… the money printing to paper over the war debt, by the FED, feeds into and often provides liquidity for markets… means endless austerity for the American people.  Afghanistan provided a testing ground for the DOD and MIC… and a resume builder for officers in the US military.  The Ukraine will continue to provide a testing ground, but hopefully will not be a resume builder, at least for US officers on the field. 

 

At a more macro or geopolitical level, the Ukraine war is something entirely different.  For starters, the Taliban do not possess nukes.  Make no mistake about it, the pall of a nuclear confrontation, and subsequent escalation, hangs over the entire theatre of war, indeed, Europe & the world, like a black shroud.  All sides must recognize, nukes are not tactical, and subsequent retaliation and escalation would rapidly spin out of control (Not unlike the result of the assassination of Archduke Franz Ferdinand, the catalyst for the First World War.  And writing of historical analogies, the entire Biden/Putin faceoff is highly reminiscent of the Kennedy/Khrushchev standoff, except the tables, arguably, have been turned.  This confrontation is within the Russian sphere of influence, instead of Cuba).  Moreover, Putin, nearing the twilight of his career, is said to want to go down in the Russian history books, surely a nuclear holocaust is not the path?  As for the idiots in America, who believe nuclear wars are winnable… I have to ask, when’s the last time the US foreign policy establishment was right about anything?   And I do mean anything.  Clearly, diplomacy and negotiation are the path forward, but are the West, and the US, already overly vested in another Cold War?

 

Beyond the nuclear Sword of Damocles hanging over the whole affair, is the reality that this isn’t the old Cold War, the standoff between communism and capitalism… but rather, the new Cold War is an acknowledgement that globalization, markets, and neoliberalism – as a ruling economic & political ideology, globally – are an abject failure.  That petty self-interest, and sovereignty, still matter, and on that score, both sides bear plenty of responsibility for this war.  

 

That’s not moral equivalence, that’s reality.   

 

This war, not like any that has proceeded it, calls into question the governing principles that bind the world today, that of greed, markets, billionaires and oligarchy.  It upsets the entire political apple cart… long held sacrosanct throughout the West, since the early eighties… that greed and markets require no rules and regs, require no morality, oversight, and no virtue.  Markets will take care of it all.  Even before this war, globalization and neoliberalism had been laid out at the morgue by COVID.  This war is Reaganism and Thatcherism in extremis and in their death throes.  Markets do require guardrails and oversight.  Economies and business sectors do require strong, well- staffed, and highly competent, regulatory bodies.  And particularly, heavy duty antitrust enforcement.  Huge gaps in social justice, brought about neoliberalism, can only be filled by economic justice & government programs.  Foreign policy, good old foreign policy and trade, should be overseen with a geopolitical perspective, not by the devil and his greatest sin, greed.  

 

China and Russia both point out, and provide a cautionary tale, perhaps before it’s too late, does the West truly want to continue to build up these fearsome powers with unlimited trade?

 

For who made Putin so powerful, who or what ideology funds both war machines for the West & East?  And who or what ideology make Russia’s primary ally, The People’s Republic of China, so incredibly powerful?  The very same greed-based ideology that saw the export of the US economy and tax base offshore, and America subsequently made much weaker (as best evidenced by our thirty trillion, plus, dollar national debt and soaring childhood poverty). 

 

If anything good comes of this, it’s that this war may spark a green and renewables revolution.  But will that energy revolution prove to be yet another source of conflict, as nations dependent upon fossil fuel exports lash out at the loss of their power, their stranded portfolio of assets, and the rising tide of a very angry population? 

 

Lost in all of this, of course…  what’s in the best interest of the Ukraine and the Ukrainian people, presently used as pawns & cannon fodder? 

 

And that’s the ultimate tragedy… woe unto the people, and the land, caught between two nuclear superpowers.  Woe unto the people caught in the dying embers & light of a failed, libertarian economic ideology gone terribly, terribly wrong.  Let's pray neoliberalism's supernova doesn't set off a nuclear catastrophe. 

 

Copyright JM Hamilton Publishing 2022