Monday, July 3, 2017

The Ice Queen cometh: Margrethe Vestager


The Ice Queen cometh: Margrethe Vestager


Answer: Pricing below a competitor's costs occurs in many competitive markets and generally does not violate the antitrust laws. Sometimes the low-pricing firm is simply more efficient. Pricing below your own costs is also not a violation of the law unless it is part of a strategy to eliminate competitors, and when that strategy has a dangerous probability of creating a monopoly for the discounting firm so that it can raise prices far into the future and recoup its losses. In markets with a large number of sellers, such as gasoline retailing, it is unlikely that one company could price below cost long enough to drive out a significant number of rivals and attain a dominant position.

By: J.M. Hamilton (7-4-2017)

This July 4th U.S. democracy is under threat, perhaps as never before, but not from the usual suspects – you know – Russian hacking, North Korea and its nukes, or Saudi sponsored ISIS.  No, Senator Sanders, and POTUS Trump, both named the threat to U.S. democracy during the 2016 presidential campaign: the threat of a rigged system, where money controls both political parties – Dems and Republicans – like puppets on a string.

And who are the puppeteers, who control Dems & GOP politicians like marionettes?  Well that would be the oligarchy: billionaires and multinationals, the Apples & Googles of the world, Wall Street Banks, Private Equity Barons, MIC Contractors, and Big Oil…. Just to name a few elite members of Club Oligarchy.

Who will save democracy from Club Oligarchy… well citizens in the West have already started pushing back against the established order and establishment politicians.  The examples are many.  The rescue of democracy, and perhaps capitalism – itself, will also have come from a handful of “brave leaders” (an oxymoron, in today’s age).

But such a leader has already stepped forth in the form of one, Ms. Margrethe Vestager.  Who the hell is Margrethe Vestager?

Ms. Vestager is a European politician – Danish – who heads up the EU’s Directorate General for Competition (DGC).  Before that, she played a key role in Denmark’s Radikale Venstre Party (literally, “radical left”).  Like many of the political parties in Europe, don’t be fooled by the label.  Before heading up the EU’s DGC, Ms. Vestager’s claim to fame, as a “radical left” politician, was gutting the social safety net in Denmark and imposing austerity.  Not a terribly popular move, among the Danes.

In her role as head of competition w/in Europe, and making sure markets are fair, and untrammeled by cronyism, monopolies, greed, and oligarchy… Ms. Vestager appears to have hit her stride.

What other politician has the cojones, or brass ovaries, to make imperial CEOs howl w/ derision and scorn.  Per Bloomberg, Ms. Vestager has driven investigations into a who’s who list of multinational royalty, among them: Amazon; Fiat; Gazprom; Google; McDonalds; and Starbucks, et al.

When she ordered Apple  - the world’s largest multinational, by market cap -  to pay $14 billion in back taxes & interest (due to exploitation of a highly favored & utilized Irish tax dodge), Ms. Vestager sent paroxysms of  fear through the US corporate & multinational community.  The normally charming Apple CEO., Mr. Tim Cook, called the ruling “total political crap.” 

Eloquent. 

As a result of Vestager’s Apple decision, no fewer than 185 U.S. CEOs complained directly to European heads of state.  Even the U.S. Treasury – fearful of the impact Vestager’s decision would have upon future American tax revenues, generated by the repatriation of US multinational profits – lodged a complaint.

The DGC is perhaps, one of the few agencies w/in the EU, at least under Vestager, that actually walks the walk. 

 And unlike the U.S. - where the GOP & Dems have gutted most regulatory bodies; failed to enforce antitrust rules, regs, & laws; and have often imposed cost-benefit rules before regulation can be issued - Ms. Vestager heads up a 900 member staff  (w/ unimaginable enforcement & research capabilities).

Bloomberg summed up Ms. Vestager’s portfolio best:

… Vestager makes decisions related to cartelization and antitrust, approves or rejects mergers, and investigates state aid cases, in which member countries single out companies for unfair advantages such as tax breaks. In the U.S., state aid by way of targeted tax incentives is a legitimate strategy to lure investment; in Europe, it’s a forbidden tactic. That aside, the spirit of competition laws in the EU and the U.S. is identical; in its reckoning of what will impair the free market, though, the EU tends to exercise more caution than the U.S.

Ms. Vestager “reckoned” again last week, and this time her target was Google.  Google was labeled a monopoly, and on top of a 2.4 billion euro fine will probably spend hundreds of millions more defending itself against: competitors in civil suits; stockholders; potentially clients; and against the EU as well.  Additionally, other nation states may feel emboldened, by Ms. Vestager’s actions.  Google has 90 days to respond to Ms. Vestager’s allegations & change its behavior, or pay up.  Moreover, unlike the U.S., w/in the EU, it’s up to the multinational to come up w/ a solution to its antitrust conundrum.  No bullshit cost-benefit analysis here. (JMH would argue U.S. cartels and monopolies should be forced, annually, to file a cost-benefit report that justifies their monopolistic powers, or face break up.)

Some might say Ms. Vestager’s actions smack of sour grapes, and a strike against U.S. dominance on the World Wide Web, but the reality is the DGC prosecutes far more actions against European firms than American.  The EU has received a great deal of backlash as of late, as being an elitist body pandering to the Davos crowd… Ms. Vestager and the DGC appear to be an exception to that rule.

So why is Ms. Vestager’s actions against monopoly and cartels (groups of companies w/in a market, who exercise collectively monopoly powers), so welcome and so favorable to democracy?

Here, it’s instructive to revisit why cartels and monopolies are so insidious:

1)  First monopolies are a threat to capitalism.  Don’t confuse privately held, or publicly traded companies, with capitalism. If an industry is dominated by one company, or a handful of players – who collude to set price - their dominance has a debilitating impact upon consumers and, if demand is inelastic enough, a crushing impact upon the economy, itself.
2)  Monopolies not only harm consumers, but they exercise their market dominance against suppliers, labor, and other businesses – which engage w/ said monopoly.  In this instance they are said to exercise monopsony powers.  In short, monopolies are bad for business and bad for capitalism; and monopsony powers are bad for labor.
3)  Labor in particular, may see their wages stagnate, or not keep pace w/ the rising cost of living, when they work for an industry that is dominated by cartel and monopoly.   This crushes aggregate demand and top line growth for industries, and often sets off rounds of M&A.  What ensues is a downward fugue of industry consolidation and self-fulfilling prophecy…. That is to say, the cartelization of an entire economy.
4)  As monopolies – again depending upon the product or service – they often make obscene profits.  These profits – as there is no check via competitors & competition – are a tax upon society, in which the citizens of a country have no say or representation.  In short, the citizens of a country are totally dependent upon the only countervailing force to protect against the predations of monopolies, the government.
5)  In countries w/ no checks upon campaign finance law, or the duration of political campaigning – such as the U.S. – cartels and monopolies exercise exceptional influence over the three branches of government, and capture the regulatory bodies.  In short, these oligarchical institutions own the government, and even “democracy.”  Effectively exercising a money dictatorship.
6)  Ironically, as pointed out in a recent Huffington Post piece, the Democratic Party – under POTUS Obama – was a particularly useful monopolist’ resource and assisted in the furtherance of industry consolidation, especially in Silicon Valley.  In short, it’s not just the GOP that is at fault here, but the Clintonian/Obama wing, or establishment wing of the Democratic Party, has aided the formation of economy crippling cartels & monopolies.
7)  The rise of M&A and industry consolidation (aka the formation of monopolies & cartels) over the last 35 years has coincided w/ rising wage & wealth inequality and also wage stagnation.  Monopolies are known to restrain both growth & innovation, in order to maintain preeminence in their respective market and achieve monopolistic outcomes. Cartels & monopolies abhor change, variability, and volatility (particularly to earnings).
8)  The rise of the U.S. monopoly economy, indeed the multinational world economy, has led to supranational courts – staffed by multinational cronies; attacks upon national sovereignty; sluggish economic growth; and rising political instability.
9)  Cartels & monopolies often interact w/ sympathetic host countries: dictatorships, despots, totalitarians, and assorted sordid elements (often to exploit indigenous labor, all in the drive for monopolist returns).
10)               Monopolies are often thought to engage in pricing characterized by high prices; but on their way to achieving dynastic & monopolistic power, a business entity may engage in a practice as old as time, called predatory pricing. In this maneuver, a biz sets price below cost – to squeeze out competition, only raise prices at a later date (see allegations leveled against Amazon) – so as to achieve market dominance/monopolistic power.
11)               Interestingly, both the Keynesian and Neo-classical schools of economics, liberals and libertarians, find cartels and monopolies to be equally abhorrent, and a threat to true capitalism.  That is to say, capitalism driven by competition. 
12)             Monopolies pose another threat.  That is, if an entire industry loses its particular expertise, but for a single player (or group of players), that monopolistic entity – depending upon the importance of the product or service – can blackmail the government & the public into doing its bidding.  Said cartel or monopoly can also exhibit extraordinary power over both the economy & the government.






Margrethe Vestager, Lady Liberty?



That is why to see David – Ms. Vestager – push back against Goliath(s) – U.S. multinationals, such as Google & Facebook (that control 85% of the Internet’s ad revenue) - is so entirely refreshing.  Notice, it’s not a man showing leadership against the immorality & perversion of cartels & monopolies.  (Note too, this special brand of monopoly driven greed & perversion are a threat to capitalism, democracy, and global political stability.)

But rather, a woman.

This Fourth of July, as your heart stirs and you wax patriotic over the local fireworks display…. Take a closer look at Lady Liberty, who will undoubtedly, at some point, appear on your computer or television screen.

In Lady Liberty’s visage… one just might see Ms. Vestager’s face.  Presently, Ms. Vestager is the closest thing we have to a government official stepping up to be, the Leader of the Free World. 



Copyright JM Hamilton Publishing 2017

Sunday, June 18, 2017

Do Not Crucify the Citizens of the World upon a Cross of Debt…


Do Not Crucify the Citizens of the World upon a Cross of Debt…

Around the world, the number of millionaires and billionaires is surging right along with the value of their holdings. Even as economic growth has slowed, the rich have managed to gain a larger slice of the world’s wealth.
Globally, almost 18 million households control more than $1 million in wealth, according to a new report from the Boston Consulting Group. These rich folk represent just 1 percent of the world’s population, but they hold 45 percent of the world’s $166.5 trillion in wealth. They will control more than half the world's wealth by 2021, BCG said.
Rising inequality is of course no surprise. Reams of data have shown that in recent decades the rich have been taking ever-larger shares of wealth and income—especially in the U.S., where corporate profits are nearing records while wages for the workforce remain stagnant.


By J.M. Hamilton (6-18-2017)

Historians and political scientists will tell you that one of the greatest American campaign speeches ever delivered was by a little known congressman from the State of Nebraska, Mr. William Jennings Bryan.  In 1896, the upstart congressman advocated the inflationary policies surrounding the free coinage of silver, versus the Republican Party’s gold standard.  Ever the populist, and arguably a Tribune for the American people, Mr. Bryan would also go on to advocate anti-imperialism and trust-busting.  And in 1896, Mr. Bryan would become the Democratic Party's presidential nominee.

Then as now, bankers & the oligarchy dominated monetary policy.  The economic elite, of that day, advocated the gold standard, and restrictive monetary policy that preserved U.S. currencies value, first and foremost (arguably to the point of having a deflationary, and deleterious, impact upon the U.S. economy).  In 1896, the GOP nominated Mr. McKinley, who ran on a platform in support of: The Gold Standard (a/k/a sound money); Protectionism (i.e. high tariffs); and support for the Trusts and economic growth.  Ultimately, Mr. McKinley won the race, narrowly winning the popular vote, and winning the electoral college by a much larger margin.  POTUS McKinley would go on to formally install the gold standard, which would play a key role in U.S. monetary policy, until POTUS Nixon took the U.S. off the gold standard.

Then as now, the American economy was prone to: boom and bust cycles; speculation in commodities, currencies, & stocks; dominated by cartels and trusts; and the American worker was well on their way, from abandoning the farm to becoming a cheap and highly exploited form of industrial labor.  Today, many of America’s industrial jobs have been lost to free trade/globalization, AI, and automation.  Moreover, today’s multinationals prefer to exploit labor in emerging markets – often run by dictatorships & totalitarian regimes – for pennies on the dollar.

In reading Mr. Bryan’s famous Cross of Gold speech today, we can see that the more things change, the more they stay the same.  In short, the circumstances that led to Mr. Bryan’s rise have occurred again in America and led to the ascendancy of the Sanders/Warren wing of the Democratic Party.  Or perhaps, the economic circumstances that led to the rise of late 19th Century populism really never went away?  They were just ameliorated & contained by the New Deal/Great Society programs and the social safety net that provides a backstop – or safety valve - for predatory capitalism’s fallout?

What follows then are excerpts from Mr. Jennings’s famous Cross of Gold speech.  See if any of this sounds familiar?


o  We say to you that you have made too limited in its application the definition of a businessman. The man who is employed for wages is as much a businessman as his employer. The attorney in a country town is as much a businessman as the corporation counsel in a great metropolis. The merchant at the crossroads store is as much a businessman as the merchant of New York.

o  The miners who go 1,000 feet into the earth or climb 2,000 feet upon the cliffs and bring forth from their hiding places the precious metals to be poured in the channels of trade are as much businessmen as the few financial magnates who in a backroom corner the money of the world. We come to speak for this broader class of businessmen.


o  We are fighting in the defense of our homes, our families, and posterity. We have petitioned, and our petitions have been scorned. We have entreated, and our entreaties have been disregarded. We have begged, and they have mocked when our calamity came.

o  What we need is an Andrew Jackson to stand as Jackson stood, against the encroachments of aggregated wealth.

o  The income tax is a just law. It simply intends to put the burdens of government justly upon the backs of the people. I am in favor of an income tax. When I find a man who is not willing to pay his share of the burden of the government which protects him, I find a man who is unworthy to enjoy the blessings of a government like ours.

o  If you will read what Thomas Benton said, you will find that he said that in searching history he could find but one parallel to Andrew Jackson. That was Cicero, who destroyed the conspiracies of Cataline and saved Rome. He did for Rome what Jackson did when he destroyed the bank conspiracy and saved America.

o  We believe it is a part of sovereignty (the coinage of money) and can no more with safety be delegated to private individuals than can the power to make penal statutes or levy laws for taxation.

o  I stand with Jefferson rather than with them, and tell them, as he did, that the issue of money is a function of the government and that the banks should go out of the governing business.


o  What we oppose in that plank is the life tenure that is being built up in Washington which establishes an office-holding class and excludes from participation in the benefits the humbler members of our society. . . .

o  I reply that if protection(ism) has slain its thousands the gold standard has slain its tens of thousands.

o  there is scarcely a state here today asking for the gold standard that is not within the absolute control of the Republican Party.


o  Mr. Carlisle said in 1878 that this was a struggle between the idle holders of idle capital and the struggling masses, who produce the wealth and pay the taxes of the country.

o  My friends, it is simply a question that we shall decide upon which side shall the Democratic Party fight: Upon the side of the idle holders of idle capital, or upon the side of the struggling masses?

o  The sympathies of the Democratic Party, as described by the platform, are on the side of the struggling masses, who have ever been the foundation of the Democratic Party.

o  There are two ideas of government. There are those who believe that if you just legislate to make the well-to-do prosperous, that their prosperity will leak through on those below (a/k/a Trickle Down). The Democratic idea has been that if you legislate to make the masses prosperous their prosperity will find its way up and through every class that rests upon it (a/k/a As noted by JMH: Flood Up).

o  (On the issue of sovereignty) My friends, we shall declare that this nation is able to legislate for its own people on every question without waiting for the aid or consent of any other nation on earth.


Ah, history repeats, again and again.  The malefactors of privilege & wealth (a/k/a The Rentier Class) always find a way to capture government, and fiscal & monetary policy, for their own ends.  The oligarchy, continuously, preys upon the 99%.  Seemingly, little has changed since Mr. Bryan gave his famous speech (but for a brief shining period ushered in by Mr. Roosevelt and the application of his famous and much loved New Deal policies).
 
How ironic that the GOP’s perceived Halcyon Days – the 1950s – saw: the apogee of New Deal policies, culminating in the highly socialist GI Bill; a rising & prosperous middle class driven economy (backstopped by the New Deal's social safety net); and one of the highest upper income tax rates the nation had ever seen at 91% (only exceeded during WW II).

Now, the point of today’s piece is not to debate the merits of the gold standard.  Libertarians, such as Representative Ron Paul, have long made a strong case for the gold standard, and there are demerits and merits to that case, just as there are demerits/merits for a free-floating fiat currency.  The bottom line is when it comes to fiscal or monetary policy, it’s all about how said policy is utilized or manipulated.  That is to say, as a force for good & the many, or as a force to enrich an elite few?








No, today, Mr. Jennings wouldn’t be railing against the gold standard, but my guess is Mr. Jennings and his followers, instead, would be railing against a global pandemic of debt (especially, the United States’ national debt).

A pandemic of domestic debt set off by: deregulated banks & shadow banking (& bailouts for same); wars w/out end financed by credit card; and tax cuts for multinationals & the uber wealthy, again financed by the U.S.’ credit line (and w/ no offsetting cuts to spending to finance any of this welfare for the oligarchy).  Instead, all the above entitlements for the wealthy are funded by ultra-accommodative central bank policies and debt, and debt service payments, as far as the eye can see.  Adding fuel to the debt fire, the U.S. economy is based not upon manufacturing and savings (under the current monetary policy regime savers are actually discouraged & penalized); but rather, the U.S. economy is based upon debt, finance, speculation, global arbitrage, rent seeking predatory cartels & monopolies, and war.

The national debt has a crushing impact upon fiscal & social policy (read austerity), and has led to overreliance upon monetary policy, which arguably, has let our elected politicians off the hook from conducting the affairs of state.  Why be worried about governing, fiscal policy, the national debt, debt service load on same, and war w/out end, while the Fed’s printing presses burned and churned?  This overreliance upon monetary policies, and our ever expanding national debt, fuels interest rate suppression (which essentially is stealing from savers and retirees).  Aggravating our predicament further, ultra-accommodative central bank policies funds the financialization of economy (a/k/a financial engineering): affording cheap finance for job killing and tax base crushing M&A (and coming soon, during the next economic down turn, a spike in the number of bankruptcies).  

That is to say, the beneficiaries of the Federal Reserve's exigent efforts have gone to an elite few, at the expense of a great many.

Ironically, the debt scolds (a/k/a the GOP/Dem Establishment), utilize the national debt to demonize entitlement spending, such as Food Stamps, Social Security, Medicare, & Medicaid; and yet, these same scolds have zero issues w/ jacking up the national debt to pay for Wall Street bailouts, tax cuts for the wealthy, war w/out end, and the U.S. global empire (as best illustrated by 700 to 900 military bases spread around the globe).  

If one has any doubt that the tax cuts for the wealthy, and endless war, sent the deficit spiraling ever higher?  Please see POTUS Clinton's budget surpluses, and the rise of deficit spending again, w/ the advent of the Bush W. tax cuts and ill-fated Afghanistan & Iraq war start ups.

And this is exactly why, the bankocracy that thrives on nation state debt - and the easy money policies of central banks, globally - must be put down & broken up.  A new Bretton Woods should be called for to deal w/ the global debt crisis.  In short, global public debt must be written down in a coordinated and methodical fashion among nation states, before calamity and more war ensues (martial & trade). 

Far too many Americans and citizens of the world – particularly children – are undernourished, under-schooled, and receive inadequate medical care, so that the oligarchy can max out government credit lines to pay for greater and greater: tax cuts, government contracts, privatization, the military industrial complex, and all manner of evil negotiated behind closed doors.

And why?  So that some behemoth multinational or Wall Street bank can hit next quarters’ target? 

This is no way to run a planet.

As Mr. Bryan might have said:  You shall not crucify mankind upon a cross of debt.



Copyright JM Hamilton Publishing 2017