Monday, July 3, 2017

The Ice Queen cometh: Margrethe Vestager


The Ice Queen cometh: Margrethe Vestager


Answer: Pricing below a competitor's costs occurs in many competitive markets and generally does not violate the antitrust laws. Sometimes the low-pricing firm is simply more efficient. Pricing below your own costs is also not a violation of the law unless it is part of a strategy to eliminate competitors, and when that strategy has a dangerous probability of creating a monopoly for the discounting firm so that it can raise prices far into the future and recoup its losses. In markets with a large number of sellers, such as gasoline retailing, it is unlikely that one company could price below cost long enough to drive out a significant number of rivals and attain a dominant position.

By: J.M. Hamilton (7-4-2017)

This July 4th U.S. democracy is under threat, perhaps as never before, but not from the usual suspects – you know – Russian hacking, North Korea and its nukes, or Saudi sponsored ISIS.  No, Senator Sanders, and POTUS Trump, both named the threat to U.S. democracy during the 2016 presidential campaign: the threat of a rigged system, where money controls both political parties – Dems and Republicans – like puppets on a string.

And who are the puppeteers, who control Dems & GOP politicians like marionettes?  Well that would be the oligarchy: billionaires and multinationals, the Apples & Googles of the world, Wall Street Banks, Private Equity Barons, MIC Contractors, and Big Oil…. Just to name a few elite members of Club Oligarchy.

Who will save democracy from Club Oligarchy… well citizens in the West have already started pushing back against the established order and establishment politicians.  The examples are many.  The rescue of democracy, and perhaps capitalism – itself, will also have come from a handful of “brave leaders” (an oxymoron, in today’s age).

But such a leader has already stepped forth in the form of one, Ms. Margrethe Vestager.  Who the hell is Margrethe Vestager?

Ms. Vestager is a European politician – Danish – who heads up the EU’s Directorate General for Competition (DGC).  Before that, she played a key role in Denmark’s Radikale Venstre Party (literally, “radical left”).  Like many of the political parties in Europe, don’t be fooled by the label.  Before heading up the EU’s DGC, Ms. Vestager’s claim to fame, as a “radical left” politician, was gutting the social safety net in Denmark and imposing austerity.  Not a terribly popular move, among the Danes.

In her role as head of competition w/in Europe, and making sure markets are fair, and untrammeled by cronyism, monopolies, greed, and oligarchy… Ms. Vestager appears to have hit her stride.

What other politician has the cojones, or brass ovaries, to make imperial CEOs howl w/ derision and scorn.  Per Bloomberg, Ms. Vestager has driven investigations into a who’s who list of multinational royalty, among them: Amazon; Fiat; Gazprom; Google; McDonalds; and Starbucks, et al.

When she ordered Apple  - the world’s largest multinational, by market cap -  to pay $14 billion in back taxes & interest (due to exploitation of a highly favored & utilized Irish tax dodge), Ms. Vestager sent paroxysms of  fear through the US corporate & multinational community.  The normally charming Apple CEO., Mr. Tim Cook, called the ruling “total political crap.” 

Eloquent. 

As a result of Vestager’s Apple decision, no fewer than 185 U.S. CEOs complained directly to European heads of state.  Even the U.S. Treasury – fearful of the impact Vestager’s decision would have upon future American tax revenues, generated by the repatriation of US multinational profits – lodged a complaint.

The DGC is perhaps, one of the few agencies w/in the EU, at least under Vestager, that actually walks the walk. 

 And unlike the U.S. - where the GOP & Dems have gutted most regulatory bodies; failed to enforce antitrust rules, regs, & laws; and have often imposed cost-benefit rules before regulation can be issued - Ms. Vestager heads up a 900 member staff  (w/ unimaginable enforcement & research capabilities).

Bloomberg summed up Ms. Vestager’s portfolio best:

… Vestager makes decisions related to cartelization and antitrust, approves or rejects mergers, and investigates state aid cases, in which member countries single out companies for unfair advantages such as tax breaks. In the U.S., state aid by way of targeted tax incentives is a legitimate strategy to lure investment; in Europe, it’s a forbidden tactic. That aside, the spirit of competition laws in the EU and the U.S. is identical; in its reckoning of what will impair the free market, though, the EU tends to exercise more caution than the U.S.

Ms. Vestager “reckoned” again last week, and this time her target was Google.  Google was labeled a monopoly, and on top of a 2.4 billion euro fine will probably spend hundreds of millions more defending itself against: competitors in civil suits; stockholders; potentially clients; and against the EU as well.  Additionally, other nation states may feel emboldened, by Ms. Vestager’s actions.  Google has 90 days to respond to Ms. Vestager’s allegations & change its behavior, or pay up.  Moreover, unlike the U.S., w/in the EU, it’s up to the multinational to come up w/ a solution to its antitrust conundrum.  No bullshit cost-benefit analysis here. (JMH would argue U.S. cartels and monopolies should be forced, annually, to file a cost-benefit report that justifies their monopolistic powers, or face break up.)

Some might say Ms. Vestager’s actions smack of sour grapes, and a strike against U.S. dominance on the World Wide Web, but the reality is the DGC prosecutes far more actions against European firms than American.  The EU has received a great deal of backlash as of late, as being an elitist body pandering to the Davos crowd… Ms. Vestager and the DGC appear to be an exception to that rule.

So why is Ms. Vestager’s actions against monopoly and cartels (groups of companies w/in a market, who exercise collectively monopoly powers), so welcome and so favorable to democracy?

Here, it’s instructive to revisit why cartels and monopolies are so insidious:

1)  First monopolies are a threat to capitalism.  Don’t confuse privately held, or publicly traded companies, with capitalism. If an industry is dominated by one company, or a handful of players – who collude to set price - their dominance has a debilitating impact upon consumers and, if demand is inelastic enough, a crushing impact upon the economy, itself.
2)  Monopolies not only harm consumers, but they exercise their market dominance against suppliers, labor, and other businesses – which engage w/ said monopoly.  In this instance they are said to exercise monopsony powers.  In short, monopolies are bad for business and bad for capitalism; and monopsony powers are bad for labor.
3)  Labor in particular, may see their wages stagnate, or not keep pace w/ the rising cost of living, when they work for an industry that is dominated by cartel and monopoly.   This crushes aggregate demand and top line growth for industries, and often sets off rounds of M&A.  What ensues is a downward fugue of industry consolidation and self-fulfilling prophecy…. That is to say, the cartelization of an entire economy.
4)  As monopolies – again depending upon the product or service – they often make obscene profits.  These profits – as there is no check via competitors & competition – are a tax upon society, in which the citizens of a country have no say or representation.  In short, the citizens of a country are totally dependent upon the only countervailing force to protect against the predations of monopolies, the government.
5)  In countries w/ no checks upon campaign finance law, or the duration of political campaigning – such as the U.S. – cartels and monopolies exercise exceptional influence over the three branches of government, and capture the regulatory bodies.  In short, these oligarchical institutions own the government, and even “democracy.”  Effectively exercising a money dictatorship.
6)  Ironically, as pointed out in a recent Huffington Post piece, the Democratic Party – under POTUS Obama – was a particularly useful monopolist’ resource and assisted in the furtherance of industry consolidation, especially in Silicon Valley.  In short, it’s not just the GOP that is at fault here, but the Clintonian/Obama wing, or establishment wing of the Democratic Party, has aided the formation of economy crippling cartels & monopolies.
7)  The rise of M&A and industry consolidation (aka the formation of monopolies & cartels) over the last 35 years has coincided w/ rising wage & wealth inequality and also wage stagnation.  Monopolies are known to restrain both growth & innovation, in order to maintain preeminence in their respective market and achieve monopolistic outcomes. Cartels & monopolies abhor change, variability, and volatility (particularly to earnings).
8)  The rise of the U.S. monopoly economy, indeed the multinational world economy, has led to supranational courts – staffed by multinational cronies; attacks upon national sovereignty; sluggish economic growth; and rising political instability.
9)  Cartels & monopolies often interact w/ sympathetic host countries: dictatorships, despots, totalitarians, and assorted sordid elements (often to exploit indigenous labor, all in the drive for monopolist returns).
10)               Monopolies are often thought to engage in pricing characterized by high prices; but on their way to achieving dynastic & monopolistic power, a business entity may engage in a practice as old as time, called predatory pricing. In this maneuver, a biz sets price below cost – to squeeze out competition, only raise prices at a later date (see allegations leveled against Amazon) – so as to achieve market dominance/monopolistic power.
11)               Interestingly, both the Keynesian and Neo-classical schools of economics, liberals and libertarians, find cartels and monopolies to be equally abhorrent, and a threat to true capitalism.  That is to say, capitalism driven by competition. 
12)             Monopolies pose another threat.  That is, if an entire industry loses its particular expertise, but for a single player (or group of players), that monopolistic entity – depending upon the importance of the product or service – can blackmail the government & the public into doing its bidding.  Said cartel or monopoly can also exhibit extraordinary power over both the economy & the government.






Margrethe Vestager, Lady Liberty?



That is why to see David – Ms. Vestager – push back against Goliath(s) – U.S. multinationals, such as Google & Facebook (that control 85% of the Internet’s ad revenue) - is so entirely refreshing.  Notice, it’s not a man showing leadership against the immorality & perversion of cartels & monopolies.  (Note too, this special brand of monopoly driven greed & perversion are a threat to capitalism, democracy, and global political stability.)

But rather, a woman.

This Fourth of July, as your heart stirs and you wax patriotic over the local fireworks display…. Take a closer look at Lady Liberty, who will undoubtedly, at some point, appear on your computer or television screen.

In Lady Liberty’s visage… one just might see Ms. Vestager’s face.  Presently, Ms. Vestager is the closest thing we have to a government official stepping up to be, the Leader of the Free World. 



Copyright JM Hamilton Publishing 2017